Forecasting, warning and responding to transnational risks

Assembling a high profile group of scholars and practitioners, this book investigates the interplay of forecasting; warnings about, and responses to, knownand unknown transnational risks. It challenges conventional accounts of 'failures' of warning and preventive policy in both the academic literature and public debate. CHIARA DE FRANCO is Research Associate in the Department of War Studies atKing's College London, UK. She is also Manager of the FORESIGHT Project on Early Warning and Conflict Prevention. Previously, she was Lecturer in International Relations Theory and War Representations at the University of Florence, Italy, and Lecturer in European Affairs at the Florida State University, USA. CHRISTOPH O. MEYER is Senior Lecturer in the Department of War Studies at King's College London, UK. He is also Principal Investigator of the FORESIGHT Project on Early Warning and Conflict Prevention. He is the author of 'The Quest for a European Strategic Culture' and has been active in providing policy adviceto the European Parliament and EU Commission. INDICE: Introduction: The Challenges of Prevention; 'C.De Franco '& 'C.O.Meyer - 'PART I: FORECASTING HARM - The Coastline of The Future: Some Limits onForecasting and Prediction; 'D.Omand - 'Epistemology of Forecasting in International Relations: Knowing the Difference between 'Intelligence Failure' and 'Warning Failure'; 'J.Goldman - 'Foresec: Lessons Learnt from a Pan-European Security Foresight Project; 'V.Brummer', 'C.Burnley, H.Carlsen, A.Duta, B.Giegerich' &' R.Magoni - 'Modelling Transnational Environmental Risks: Scenarios forDecision Support; 'F.Wagner - 'Risk, Uncertainty and the Assessment of Organised Crime; 'T.Van Der Beken - 'PART II: COMMUNICATING AND LEARNING FROM WARNINGS - Mediatised Warnings: Late, Wrong, Yet Indispensable? Lessons from ClimateChange and Civil War; 'C.De Franco '& 'C.O.Meyer - 'Do They Listen? Communicating Warnings: An Intelligence Practitioners Perspective; 'W.Shapcott - 'Responding to early flood warnings in the European Union; 'D.Demeritt '& 'S.Nobert - 'Dark Secrets: Face-Work, Organizational Culture and Disaster Prevention; 'M.S.Gerstein '& 'E.H.Schein - 'PART III: RESPONDING TO WARNINGS - TransnationalRisk Management: A Business Perspective; 'C.Crossin '& 'J.Smither - 'From the'Neurotic' to the 'Rationalising' State: Risk and the Limits of Governance; 'H.Rothstein, O.Borraz' &' M.Huber - 'Ilos and Silences: The Role of Fragmentation in the Recent Financial Crisis; 'G.Tett - 'Forecasting, Warning and Preventive Policy: The Case of Finance; 'T.F.Huertas - 'Prospective Sense-Making: A Realistic Approach to 'Foresight for Prevention' in an Age of Complex Threats;'W.H.Fishbein - 'Conclusion: New Perspectives for Theorising and Addressing Transnational Risks; 'C.O.Meyer' &' C.De Franco - '

• ISBN: 978-0-230-29784-5
• Editorial: Palgrave MacM
• Encuadernacion: Cartoné
• Páginas: 320
• Fecha Publicación: 11/08/2011
• Nº Volúmenes: 1
• Idioma: Inglés