Due to shrinking fossil fuel reserves and concerns about climate change, renewable energy holds an increasing share of the energy mix. Solar, wind, wave and hydro energy are dependent on highly variable weather conditions, so their increased penetration will lead to strong fluctuations in the power injected into the electricity grid, which need to be managed. Reliable, high quality forecasts of renewable power generation are therefore essential for the smooth integration of large amounts of solar, wind, wave and hydropower into the grid as well as for the profitability and effectiveness of such renewable energy projects. This book provides an overview of the state of the art of renewable energy forecasting technology and its applications. After an introduction to the principles of meteorology and renewable energy generation, groups of chapters address forecasting models, very short-term forecasting and forecasting of extremes, and longer term forecasting. The final part of the book focuses on important applications of forecasting for power system management and in energy markets. Comprehensive coverage of wind, solar, wave and hydropower forecasting in one convenient volumeAddresses a topic that is growing in importance, given the increasing penetration of renewable energy in many countriesReviews state-of-the science techniques for renewable energy forecasting as well as containing chapters on operational applications INDICE: Part 1 Introduction to meteorology and renewable power generation 1. Introduction 2. Principles of meteorology and numerical weather forecasting 3. Renewable resource and power generation characteristics 4. Measuring and remote sensing technologies for renewable resources Part 2 Forecasting models 5. Wind energy forecasting models 6. Solar energy forecasting models 7. Wave energy forecasting models 8. Hydro energy forecasting models 9. Characterisation of forecast errors and benchmarking of renewable energy forecasts 10. Probabilistic forecasting of renewable generation 11. Verification of renewable energy forecasts Part 3 Methods for very short-term forecasting and extremes forecasting 12. Solar power forecasting based on sky cameras 13. Short term solar power forecasting based on satellite images 14. Spatio-temporal forecasting of wind generation 15. Methods for forecasting extremes of wind power generation 16. Forecasting intrahourly variability of wind generation Part 4 Longer term forecasting and financial implications 17. Seasonal to interannual predictability of solar and wind energy resources 18. The role of predictability in the investment phase of wind farms 19. Predictability and spatial planning of renewable generation Part 5 Applications of forecasting to power system management and markets 20. Operational experiences from renewable generation forecasting 21. Renewable forecasting and electricity markets 22. Applications of forecasting for the scheduling of power systems 23. Forecasting for the estimation of reserves into power systems 24. Forecasting and smart grids 25. Forecasting for storage management 26. Dynamic line rating forecasting 27. Conclusions and perspectives
- ISBN: 978-0-08-100504-0
- Editorial: Woodhead Publishing
- Encuadernacion: Cartoné
- Páginas: 580
- Fecha Publicación: 01/05/2017
- Nº Volúmenes: 1
- Idioma: Inglés